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Simulation and animation of some Markov-chains
An illustration of a common type of
technical and administrative processes
Click an exercise to change the transit matrix. Then use the
[Rerun simulation]-button to start the simulation.
Exercise 1, model 1. This exercise sets all transit probabilities to 1, thus no rejects at all. The distribution will show exactly 5 steps and the mean and std dev will be 1 and 0.
Exercise 2, model 1. This exercise has the probability 0.5 'B -> Reject' and 0.5 'B -> C'. The distribution will show two equal bars (3 and 5 steps), mean 4 and std dev 1. The probabilities of 'Stop' and 'Reject' as expected,
Exercise 3, model 2. This exercise has the probability 0.82 'C -> B' and 0.18 'C -> D'. This means that there will be more steps 'backwards' and this will change the mean and standard deviation from 5.42 and 1.42 to 10.46 and 7.04.
Transition matrix of probabilities between states
Number of steps from 'Start' to 'Reject' or 'Stop'